Winter has been hard to find across the US this year. That may change this weekend as a possible Nor’Easter is on the horizon. As always, there are a few factors that play into this.. #1. Will the two storms collide and explode, #2 – Will there be enough cold air in place to support snow, # 3 – The storm Track. Here are the visuals curiosity of The Weather Channel.
The Ingredients for the Storm are here –
The southern and northern storms need to combine “Phase” over the lower US and ride up the coast. The Low(s) will rapidly intensify (bombing out) creating one mega snowstorm for parts of the Northeast.
Scenario #1 – The main LP explodes in the mid-atlantic and northeast, moving up into New England.
The southern tier storms could turn north along the coast and combine with the northern tier storm, creating a full-blown blizzard.
Scenario #2 –
Depending if the Storm tracks north or not is one thing. The other is the exact storm track. How far inland is the low? Does it graze the coast? is it 40 miles off the coast? This decides where there will be enough cold air to support snow. South /East of the Low Pressure (LP) will see rain. North and east of the Low Pressure will see the heavy snow and often thundersnow.
Scenario #3 – If the southern storm moves east and out to sea.. There would be no storm at that point. We need the energy of these two systems to combine and explode up the coast and we would need the storm to stay just off the coast, keeping the “Snow line” east of the I-95 corridor.
With that in Mind –
The possibilities are here and you should keep an eye on this for the next couple of days. You remember all the snow in the northeast the last couple of years including “Snowmageddon”, right? Scenario #1 is needed for a big snowstorm. We won’t know until around Saturday what will happen with this storm. I wish for a powerhouse nor’easter every year, so I want it to snow like there is no tomorrow. But time will tell. So many things need to happen in order for an epic storm to form. We know all to well that these storms are a staple for winter in the Northeastern US, now I am “wishing / hoping” we get “the Blizzard of 2012”
Snowstorms of the Past.
Deadly Snowstorm of March 1993.
(Above) This could be Scenario #1 – Winter storms should never be taken lightly. Mother Nature should NEVER be taken lightly.
Pictures from recent Blizzards –